Polls 2024 2020 2016 Vs. Final Results

[CountZero]

Arizona
September 23, 2024: Trump +2.2
September 23, 2020: Biden +4.0 - Final result Biden +0.3
September 23, 2016: Trump +1.6 - Final result Trump +4.1

Wisconsin
September 23, 2024: Harris +1.0
September 23, 2020: Biden +6.9 - Final result Biden +0.7
September 23, 2016: Clinton +4.7 - Final result Trump +1.0

Michigan
September 23, 2024: Harris +1.7
September 23, 2020: Biden +6.4 - Final result Biden +2.8
September 23, 2016: Clinton +4.7 Final result Trump +1.3

Pennsylvania
September 23, 2024: Harris +0.7
September 23, 2020: Biden +4.5 - Final result Biden +1.2
September 23, 2016: Clinton +5.6 - Final result Trump +1.2

Georgia
September 23, 2024: Trump +2.0
September 23, 2020: Trump +1.2 - Final result Biden +0.2
September 23, 2016: Trump +4.7 - Final result Trump +5.7

 A few things to unpack here. With the exception of Georgia, most states saw an error in polling favoring the democrats anywhere from 3-6 points. That seems like a lot to me...If you go with these assumptions, Harris is behind in ever one of these states. Either they are better at polling now, or they are really really going to have to cheat to substantiate those numbers.....

 
 
 
 
 

[AuntieLynn11]

Sure would LOVE to see a prognostication on the present electoral college possibilities...

[CountZero]

I wonder if this is why they would rather kill trump than duke it out at the polls....

[Canis Minor]

I wonder if this is why they would rather kill trump than duke it out at the polls....


 

This is exactly what Dan Bongino thinks too. Dan also thinks the R’s ground game is now better making it more difficult for them to cheat than in 2020. Oh, they will still cheat mind you, but God willing it may not be enough.

So, with this kind of a head wind blowing at them Dan fears they will try to assassinate Trump yet again. We must all pray for President Trump’s safety in the coming days. 
 

[CountZero]

I wonder if this is why they would rather kill trump than duke it out at the polls....



 

This is exactly what Dan Bongino thinks too. Dan also thinks the R’s ground game is now better making it more difficult for them to cheat than in 2020. Oh, they will still cheat mind you, but God willing it may not be enough.

So, with this kind of a head wind blowing at them Dan fears they will try to assassinate Trump yet again. We must all pray for President Trump’s safety in the coming days. 
 

 

And they are setting it up to blame the iranians.....
 

[CountZero]

If we take into consideration the polls underestimating Trump support from 2020, the polls should approximately look like this.....

Pennsylvania - Trump +4.6
Wisconsin - Trump +5.3
Michigan - Trump +5.4
Arizona - Trump +4.8
Nevada - Trump +3.3
Georgia - Trump +2.6
North Carolina - Trump +5.2

Bottom of page
https://www.realclearpolling.com/maps/p ... al-college

[Canis Minor]

I highly suspect the Dems internal polls are more accurate and they know Harris isn’t doing all that great. This is probably why she went on Fox last night…but then she blew it the big time! She sucks as much (if not more) than Biden. 
 
 

[Canis Minor]

BTW, even if Trump wins we still have to worry about Iranian hit men (and the Dem’s operatives) trying to take him out before he can assume office in January. 

[AuntieLynn11]

RealClear polling electoral map today has Trump at 302 and KH at 236 with NO toss-up states...looks good but (and that's a big BUT)...

[CountZero]

These are people actually voting with their own money. Trump's advantage grew by 5% after the fox harris interview.