Polls 2024 2020 2016 Vs. Final Results
Posted: Mon Sep 23, 2024 7:15 pm
Arizona
September 23, 2024: Trump +2.2
September 23, 2020: Biden +4.0 - Final result Biden +0.3
September 23, 2016: Trump +1.6 - Final result Trump +4.1
Wisconsin
September 23, 2024: Harris +1.0
September 23, 2020: Biden +6.9 - Final result Biden +0.7
September 23, 2016: Clinton +4.7 - Final result Trump +1.0
Michigan
September 23, 2024: Harris +1.7
September 23, 2020: Biden +6.4 - Final result Biden +2.8
September 23, 2016: Clinton +4.7 Final result Trump +1.3
Pennsylvania
September 23, 2024: Harris +0.7
September 23, 2020: Biden +4.5 - Final result Biden +1.2
September 23, 2016: Clinton +5.6 - Final result Trump +1.2
Georgia
September 23, 2024: Trump +2.0
September 23, 2020: Trump +1.2 - Final result Biden +0.2
September 23, 2016: Trump +4.7 - Final result Trump +5.7
A few things to unpack here. With the exception of Georgia, most states saw an error in polling favoring the democrats anywhere from 3-6 points. That seems like a lot to me...If you go with these assumptions, Harris is behind in ever one of these states. Either they are better at polling now, or they are really really going to have to cheat to substantiate those numbers.....
September 23, 2024: Trump +2.2
September 23, 2020: Biden +4.0 - Final result Biden +0.3
September 23, 2016: Trump +1.6 - Final result Trump +4.1
Wisconsin
September 23, 2024: Harris +1.0
September 23, 2020: Biden +6.9 - Final result Biden +0.7
September 23, 2016: Clinton +4.7 - Final result Trump +1.0
Michigan
September 23, 2024: Harris +1.7
September 23, 2020: Biden +6.4 - Final result Biden +2.8
September 23, 2016: Clinton +4.7 Final result Trump +1.3
Pennsylvania
September 23, 2024: Harris +0.7
September 23, 2020: Biden +4.5 - Final result Biden +1.2
September 23, 2016: Clinton +5.6 - Final result Trump +1.2
Georgia
September 23, 2024: Trump +2.0
September 23, 2020: Trump +1.2 - Final result Biden +0.2
September 23, 2016: Trump +4.7 - Final result Trump +5.7
A few things to unpack here. With the exception of Georgia, most states saw an error in polling favoring the democrats anywhere from 3-6 points. That seems like a lot to me...If you go with these assumptions, Harris is behind in ever one of these states. Either they are better at polling now, or they are really really going to have to cheat to substantiate those numbers.....